Samantha Rufo (President of nxtConcepts, Ltd) Speaks Out
For
marketers in the coming year we'll see faster change, more people using
the web, a new awareness of how the Internet is shrinking our world,
and more.
The Top 10 Changes Will Include:
1. Mission Impossible-Marketing
2. Online Ad Spending Will Hit $20 Billion
3. Social Networks Go Mainstream
4. Mostly Hype for Online Video Advertising
5. Fresh Internet Users: A 'Minority' Bigger than Canada
6. Mobile TV Arrives
7. E-Commerce Will Cruise Past $200 Billion Mark-Travel Takes the Lead
8. The Retail Power of Word-of-Mouth
9. Blog Shake Out
10. Downloadable Games Will Get Hotter
1. Mission Impossible-Marketing
If
you thought 2006 was tough when it came to sending emails, getting
websites to display correctly, and dealing with ecommerce woes, 2007
will shape up nicely to be a marketers nightmare.
According
to Gartner, Inc. (Dec 2006) by the end of 2007, 75% of U.S. companies
will be hit by viruses, malware, rampant spam, and hackers. Software
and technology departments will not be able to keep up with the new
threat environment because security processes and technologies haven't
kept up.
It's really not our fault. The new threat
environment that surrounds all the new marketing technology is
financially motivated; targeted attacks are increasing from all around
the world with automated malware-generation (hacker) kits that are
touch to beat.
On top of the method to move the marketing
message, watch for additional legislation regarding privacy concerns.
Mostly spurred by people that operate outside the law to begin with.
2. Online Ad Spending Will Hit $20 Billion
Whether
it's with Google, Yahoo, MSN, AOL or others, Internet advertising will
continue to replace more traditional forms of advertising such as
radio, TV, newspaper, and drive by billboards.
Total US
spending on Internet advertising will reach at least $19.5 billion in
2007 according to eMarketer-Dec 2006. This is 19% more than total
spending in 2006. This rate of growth is sharply down from the 30% or
more that has been the norm for several years. However, even this
reduced level of year-on-year growth would be considered spectacular
for most industries. With total US advertising spending projected to
grow by a mere 1.4% in 2007, the shift to the Internet is clearly set
to maintain its momentum in 2007.
The keys to success in 2007
will be in knowing what percentage of your marketing budget will most
effectively yield results and making sure the online ads are managed
effectively.
3. Social Networks Go Mainstream
If you're not social networking, sharing video and tagging in 2007, you're behind the times.
Worldwide
ad spending on online social networks such as YouTube, Facebook, and
MySpace.com should top $1 billion in 2007. That's up from an estimated
$445 million in 2006. Fueling this growth will be factors such as
international expansion, "niche" networks and Google's deal to supply
search technology to MySpace.
Dove Soap apparently got 1.7
million plus hits for its short film flight on YouTube. That's a start.
But the question remains: Will YouTube advance marketing communication
as radically as, say, online porn? We shall see, no doubt.
4. Mostly Hype for Online Video Advertising
If
you read Fortune and a few other magazines, you will see that this
prediction is going against popular opinion. Here's why. Internet
video advertising will get more play in the press than actual dollars
spent on the medium in 2007.
Projected spending on this format
will total $775 million in 2007. To put this figure in perspective,
remember that it represents only 4.0% of projected US online ad
spending. Although marketers continue to ad online video to their
marketing, the problem is there are too few places to actually use them
effectively on the web. So, if online video marketing is going to
boom, expect it to happen AFTER 2007.
5. Fresh Internet Users: A 'Minority' Bigger than Canada
The
number of African-American and Hispanic Internet users in the US will
rise to 37 million, from 35 million in 2006. This market will continue
to grow faster than the total US online population for several more
years, giving advertisers with the imagination to reach out to them,
fresh opportunities. (The population of Canada is 33 million.)
6. Mobile TV Arrives
Mobile
TV (watching from your cell phone) took its first baby steps in 2006
with professional content. The World Cup offered a first glimpse of
what the broadcasting future for mobile might look like, and in 2007
another crucial element will be added to the Mobile TV mix —
user-generated content (CGC-visitors create content not companies).
Given
the impact the Web equivalent of this development has had in 2006,
advertisers and marketers are likely to face a dizzying array of new
choices that have yet to be worked out. So, keep that marketing budget
flexible!
7. E-Commerce in the U.S. Will Cruise Past the $200 Billion Mark-Travel Takes the Lead
U.S.
consumer online sales will easily pass the $200 billion mark in 2007,
reaching a new record total, which eMarketer projects will be $223
billion. Online retail sales will account for $132 billion of this,
with online travel accounting for $91 billion. Some of the impetus for
this growth will come from existing online buyers increasing their
spending.
A significant force driving online travel sales is the demand from travel-loving and relatively affluent baby boomers.
8. The Retail Power of Word-of-Mouth
The
influence of consumer generated content (CGC) on US consumers' purchase
decisions will continue to grow in 2007. A recent study from market
research firm Compete found that consumers were more likely to be
swayed by CGC than by information coming directly from brand
advertisers and marketers. Goes to show that testimonials are still a
very powerful form of marketing. Especially, when it's done in a
social networking atmosphere like the web.
9. Blog Shake Out
Blogging
and community contributors will peak in the first half of 2007.
According to Gartner, Inc. (Dec 2006) Given the trend in the average
life span of a blogger and the current growth rate of blogs, there are
already more than 200 million ex-bloggers.
Consequently, the
peak number of bloggers will be around 100 million at some point in the
first half of 2007. That means we should see better quality bloggers.
Which in turn will give the blogosphere more validity and bloggers more
respect.
10. Video Game Downloads
Actually
walk to a video store, are you crazy? Playing or getting games over
the web is hot. So hot that digital downloading of video games will
take off in 2007.
By 2010 online gaming & downloads will
account for 22% of all worldwide game software revenues according to
eMarketer. Besides online stores pushing the new generation of games
consoles, look for Time Warner's GameTap service to position itself as
the HBO of PC gaming, focusing on original content to drive its
subscription service.
How does this affect marketers? If you
know how to build Video-on-demand (VOD) you will find your skills in
demand for promoting these platforms, which play on subscriber taste
for instant gratification via download. Not to mention cross-branding,
sponsorships, and other entertainment marketing opportunities that will
be available.
Brought to you by Samantha Rufo , President of nxtConcepts
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